
{"id":504,"date":"2005-08-17T07:51:51","date_gmt":"2005-08-17T14:51:51","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/stefangeens.com\/?p=504"},"modified":"2005-08-17T07:51:51","modified_gmt":"2005-08-17T14:51:51","slug":"abortion-in-sweden-and-the-us","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/stefangeens.com\/2001-2013\/2005\/08\/abortion-in-sweden-and-the-us\/","title":{"rendered":"Abortion in Sweden and the US"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>In the middle of a long thread on abortion currently raging on MemeFirst, <a title=\"MemeFirst: Christians and marriage\" href=\"http:\/\/www.memefirst.com\/001149.html#10786\">Jame asked<\/a>:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>I would be curious if there have been any studies done that compare abortion rates in the US with those in Europe, particularly in those countries (such as the Scandinavians) with a good record of supporting child care and motherhood. The implication being that other, less intrusive public policies may be effective at convincing wavering mothers to keep the baby.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>I thought I might try to figure that out myself, or at least begin by tabulating the Swedish data, <span class=\"context\">which exists in abundance<span class=\"sg-marginalia-250\">It may not be <a href=\"http:\/\/www.finlandforthought.net\/index.php?p=804\" title=\"\">socialism at its best<\/a>, but Swedish socialized medicine does produce statistical data that are the envy of th world. Case in point: The unrivalled <a href=\"http:\/\/www.meb.ki.se\/twinreg\/index_en.html\" title=\"\">Swedish twin registry<\/a>. <\/span>.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Using <a href=\"http:\/\/www.socialstyrelsen.se\/Publicerat\/2004\/8550\/2004-42-7.htm\" title=\"\">birth statistics<\/a> and <a href=\"http:\/\/www.sos.se\/epc\/fs\/\" title=\"\">abortion numbers broken down by week<\/a> from the National Board of Health and Welfare, I was able to produce some very interesting graphs charting <span class=\"context\">abortion trends in Sweden over the past 20 years<span class=\"sg-marginalia-250\">Here is the data I collected, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.stefangeens.com\/abortions-week.xls\" title=\"\">in an Excel spreadsheet<\/a>.<\/span><\/span>.<\/p>\n<p>This first chart shows cumulative figures for how pregnancies end in Sweden each year, in absolute terms. The second chart takes this data and normalises it, allowing us to make percentage comparisons across years. This makes the second chart more interesting for our purposes.<\/p>\n<p><span class=\"context\"><span class=\"sg-marginalia-250\">The number of stillborn is below 0.4% of total births. I&#8217;ve included them with live births to show total births in the graphs, because what we are trying to track here is a mother-to-be&#8217;s intentions.<\/span><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" alt=\"abortabsolute.gif\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.stefangeens.com\/abortabsolute.gif?resize=470%2C360\" width=\"470\" height=\"360\" \/><\/p>\n<p><\/span><\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" alt=\"abortpercent.gif\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.stefangeens.com\/abortpercent.gif?resize=470%2C360\" width=\"470\" height=\"360\" \/><\/p>\n<p>The data presented thus shows that most pregnancies end in birth (green), but that a near-constant 25% end in abortion. This is Sweden&#8217;s &#8220;abortion ratio&#8221;. The ratio has been hovering near this level <span class=\"context\">since 1975, when abortion was legalized.<span class=\"sg-marginalia-250\">Abortion in Sweden is legal until the 18th week, after which it is only permitted &#8220;in cases of severe indications.&#8221; <a href=\"http:\/\/www.socialstyrelsen.se\/NR\/rdonlyres\/8013473F-C14A-467E-A2F7-F3BB1A082E0C\/3573\/2005423.pdf\" title=\"\">A synopsis in English<\/a> (PDF, on page 8)<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p>Two things are immediately obvious from looking a the data: First, there is a definite trend towards having abortions earlier. In 1985, less than 43% of abortions were performed by the end of the 8th week of pregnancy. In 2004, that figured had climbed to nearly 71%. The percentage of total abortions performed by the end of the 6th week climbed from 3.2% in 1985 to 24.5% in 2004.<\/p>\n<p><span class=\"context\">Second, the proportion of abortions performed in the second and third trimester stayed near-constant between 1985-2004, at around 3.5%<span class=\"sg-marginalia-250\">I suspect this is because the majority of these abortions are performed for medical reasons, and that figure tends to remain constant.<\/span><\/span>.<\/p>\n<p>How does this stack up to the US? Data is a bit lacking (and lagging), but <a href=\"http:\/\/www.guttmacher.org\/pubs\/2005\/05\/18\/ab_incidence.pdf\" title=\"\">this document by The Alan Guttmacher Institute (AGI)<\/a> (PDF) from May 2005 (PDF) calculates the abortion ratio in the US at 24.3% in 2002, having dropped gradually from 29.7% in 1985. (1983 was the all-time high, at 30.4%). By comparison, Sweden&#8217;s was 25.7% in 2002.<\/p>\n<p><span class=\"context\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" alt=\"pie2.gif\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.stefangeens.com\/pie2.gif?resize=382%2C246\" width=\"382\" height=\"246\" \/><span class=\"sg-marginalia-250\">Abortions in the US, 2001. figures by The Alan Guttmacher Institute<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p>Elsewhere, AGI <a href=\"http:\/\/www.agi-usa.org\/pubs\/fb_induced_abortion.html\" title=\"\">post a pie chart<\/a> showing when abortions are performed. In 2001, 59.1% of abortions in the US were performed before the end of week 8, vs 66.7% in Sweden (in 2001, for comparison purposes). In the US, 11.9% of abortions were performed after the end of week 12; the equivalent number for Sweden was 4.8%.<\/p>\n<p>The upshot? The US has recently dipped below Sweden in its abortion ratio, but Swedes have moved towards having their abortions much earlier. Stringent pro-lifers tend to focus on absolute numbers of abortions, and tend to discount when an abortion is performed. For those who are pro-choice to some extent, however, <em>when<\/em> an abortion is performed makes a significant ethical difference, and a trend towards earlier abortions in Sweden is definitely welcome.<\/p>\n<p>I have not yet been able to find abortion figures for the US comparable to those for Sweden &mdash; broken down by week across the years. If they are available, an interesting comparison to make would be to calculate the weeks spent in the womb by aborted foetuses as a proportion of total foetus-weeks for all pregnancies. This would present a more nuanced view of progress towards reducing late abortions.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In the middle of a long thread on abortion currently raging on MemeFirst, Jame asked: I would be curious if there have been any studies done that compare abortion rates in the US with those in Europe, particularly in those &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/stefangeens.com\/2001-2013\/2005\/08\/abortion-in-sweden-and-the-us\/\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[8],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-504","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-science-technology"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p7eNhC-88","jetpack-related-posts":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/stefangeens.com\/2001-2013\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/504","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/stefangeens.com\/2001-2013\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/stefangeens.com\/2001-2013\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stefangeens.com\/2001-2013\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stefangeens.com\/2001-2013\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=504"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/stefangeens.com\/2001-2013\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/504\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/stefangeens.com\/2001-2013\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=504"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stefangeens.com\/2001-2013\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=504"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stefangeens.com\/2001-2013\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=504"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}